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Oftentimes a distressed firm considering a uplift plan will not be successful without some type of financial restructuring, and sometimes the best way to recover a distressed firm’s existing value is through liquidation. Clearly, many analytics professionals are analytics-driven experts that must be capable of determining the financial state of a firm. If the core business has been irreparably damaged and the future outlook is bleak then the analytics will confirm. Under the worst case, analytics professionals will recommend liquidation of the entire company, certain assets, or certain business units. However, if the core business is capable of surviving the competent analytics professional will prove it, The key is to help firms re-focus on long-term survival through sustained profitability with the aid of a new financial structure that more accurately reflects the firms’ current situation.  A competent analytics professional will have evidence of restructuring capabilities including:

  • Voluntary surrender Mergers and acquisitions
  • Recapitalizations Capital structure advisory
  • Secured debt
  • Unsecured debt
  • Leases Bankruptcy (Chapter 11, Chapter 7, 363 Sales)

Naturally, more insight is collected in volumes of books then individuals heads so its only fair to share sources in support of this type of movement to accountability.

  1. Modeling Techniques in Predictive Analytics: Business Problems and ...
  2. Operational Risk : Modeling Analytics (Wiley Series in Probability ...
  3. Fundamentals of Matrix-Analytic Methods
  4. Matrix-Analytic Methods in Stochastic Models (Springer Proceedings ...

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Tags: Analytics, Debt, Financial, Matrix-Analytic, Methods, Predictive, Risk


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Comment by Jeffrey Ng on September 27, 2013 at 11:42pm

Share the same thinking as yours. Restructuring or Financing and Investment Analytics Needs a lot more attention and have rooms for improvement.

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